Saturday, August 11, 2012

Growth In Rail Traffic Continues To Expand


Pragmatic Capitalism’s Collen Roche writes:  I’ve long been in the controversial “no recession” camp in the USA and among the many indicators that have stood out during this call was rail traffic.  It has continually pointed to positive growth in the USA in the face of conflicting data points.  The latest reading shows more of the same with the year over year reading for this week coming in at 3.3% for intermodal traffic and 0.4% for carloads. 

The 10 week moving average for intermodal traffic is at 5.1%, but likely to weaken given the recent readings below 5%.    Overall, this indicator seems to be pretty consistent with my overall view – it’s muddle through for now, but not recession…..

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