Thursday, June 7, 2012

What Bernanke Is Trying to Tell the Markets






According to PIMCO’s El-ERian he delivered a careful and balanced view of the economy (a gradual healing in the context of a still-muted outlook growth and jobs), re-iterated the improved banking and financial conditions at home (stressing the major additions to bank capital), and referred to the strains in Europe (acknowledging that they act as a drag on the US economy).  The most interesting aspect related to policy.  Specifically:

1. Certainly in his written submission, but also in the oral responses to questions, Bernanke is trying hard to shift the focus from monetary policy to other areas (particularly fiscal). This speaks to his lack of specificity on future monetary policy actions and to his comment that he would feel much more comfortable if Congress were to take some of the policy burden off the Fed.

2. If this interpretation is correct, Bernanke is following the example of Mario Draghi, the president of European Central Bank   . Draghi has been unusually vocal in recent weeks about the need for politicians in Europe to step up to the plate and deliver on their policy responsibilities; and he has been clear about the risk that relying just on the ECB may, in my words, again end up providing a bridge to nowhere…….
Wait, wait…there’s more at http://www.cnbc.com/id/47722809

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