According to SeekingAlpha the S&P 500 has been the alpha market, with the other asset class markets and commodities falling in line behind it. The S&P 500 is after all a stock index that is comprised of some of the most successful companies in the world. These companies have a long history of success in good times and uncertain times, and were not created to fail --the past few years being proof of this. Despite a steadily slowing economy, companies continue to find ways to remain profitable and the stock market continues to climb the wall of worry.
Moving higher along with the S&P 500, over the last few
years and in some ways competing with it, has been gold. Both gold and the
S&P 500 have doubled since early 2009. Gold is a leading indicator market
also, albeit with a less predictable pedigree during good times. Gold has a
great record of predicting fear in the markets; when gold goes up, it means
investors are foregoing yield. Investors passing up yield and instead buying
gold, a commodity which incurs a cost of carry - storage --is a sure sign of
economic uncertainty, i.e.: fear…..
Wait, wait…there’s more at http://seekingalpha.com/article/937341-the-coming-shift-in-market-leadership
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