Tuesday, June 11, 2013

Erdogan Crisis Driving Bond Risk Closer to Russia: Turkey Credit

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s stand-off with protesters is threatening to send investor perceptions of the nation’s credit risk above Russia’s for the first time in seven months. The cost to protect against losses in Turkish debt using credit-default swaps rose 41 basis points since May 31, when anti-government demonstrations erupted, to 172 yesterday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s narrowed the gap with higher-rated Russia to 10 basis points from 25 at the end of last month, the data show.

The unrest is threatening to drive away investors, who had been lured to Turkey by higher yields, falling debt levels and credit-rating upgrades. ….“Many preferred Turkey to Russia on the view that it had become politically stable, transparent and democratic, contrasting with Putin’s Russia.”

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