When JP Morgan announced a shocking $2 billion loss, chief
executive Jamie Dimon admitted the amount could double to $4 billion by the end
of the year. Instead it has increased by 50% in a matter of days. Two billion
has become $3 billion, as hedge funds and other investors "have fueled
faster deterioration in the underlying credit market positions held by the
bank," DealBook reports.
It is, as Conor Sen quipped on Twitter, "like a BP oil
spill in derivative form."
Two numbers add some perspective. The first number is $400
million. That's the sum Dimon warned that financial regulation, in particular
the Volcker Rule, could cost his bank in the first year of trading. JP Morgan's
unlucky bet has fueled its loudest critics. "In other words," Rep. Barney
Frank said, "JP Morgan Chase, entirely without any help from the
government has lost, in this one set of transactions, five times the amount
they claim financial regulation is costing them." We cannot know that
strict implementation of the Volcker Rule, when it is finally defined and fully
implemented, would have prevented this transaction, since there are few public
details about the nature of the big loss….
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