Fasten your seat belts. Bloomberg writes that the worst may be yet to come in the global financial crisis
as the central bank spending that kept defaults low runs out, according to
Deutsche Bank AG. (DBK).
Credit-default swap prices imply that four or more European
nations may suffer so-called credit events such as having to restructure their
debt, strategists led by Jim Reid and Nick Burns said in a note. The Markit
iTraxx SovX Western Europe Index of contracts on 15 governments including Spain
and Italy jumped 26 percent in the past month as the region’s crisis flared up.
“If these implied
defaults come vaguely close to being realised then the next five years of
corporate and financial defaults could easily be worse than the last five
relatively calm years,” the analysts in London said. “Much may eventually
depend on how much money-printing can be tolerated as we are very close to
being maxed out fiscally….”
No comments:
Post a Comment