Wednesday, August 1, 2012

The Economy's 'Canary In The Coal Mine' Just Got Crushed



Goldman Sachs considers Korean trade data to be Asia's "canary in the coal mine" due to its high correlation to economic activity in mainland Asia.

Unfortunately, the canary is looking sick.  South Korean July exports plunged 8.8 percent from a year ago.  Economists surveyed by Bloomberg were looking for a decline of 3.7 percent.
This disappointing number comes as global PMI data shows that deterioration in the world's manufacturing sectors.


Oakland Leaders Enter Battle With Goldman




Oakland leaders took their financial troubles to the doorstep of Goldman Sachs on Tuesday, urging other cities to join them in fighting a bank that has become a lightning rod for criticism of the U.S. financial system, cnbc reports.

Oakland is trying to get out of a Goldman-brokered interest rate swap that is costing the cash-starved city some $4 million a year.  The swap, entered into 15 years ago as part of a bond sale to hedge against rising interest rates, has turned sour for Oakland now that interest rates are near zero.

"I hope that other cities will follow our lead," said Oakland city council member Desley Brooks, addressing about 30 protesters outside Goldman's San Francisco offices.

Oakland has had to slash city services and lay off police officers even as it wrestles with a high crime rate and other urban ills.  Oakland is paying 5.68 percent on debt associated with the swap, even with interest rates at record lows.

Find out more at http://www.cnbc.com/id/48413748

Guess Who is This Finance Minister’s Economic Hero Friedman? Keynes?



Anyone looking for early signs of distress in an economy should forget John Maynard Keynes or Milton Friedman and listen instead to Bruce Spingsteen, reports Reuters. That's the message from Australian Treasurer Wayne Swan, who on Wednesday cited the American rocker, known as The Boss, as one of his economic heroes.

Swan, named by banking magazine Euromoney as its finance minister of the year in 2011, said Springsteen foretold the story of economic and social change in the United States, particularly around his home state of New Jersey.

"You can hear Springsteen singing about the shifting foundations of the U.S. economy which the economists took much longer to detect, and which of course everyone is talking about now," Swan said in a lecture to ruling Labour Party members.  Swan said he was a university student in 1975 when he first became a fan of the New Jersey rock star following the release of the song Born to Run.


Investor/Trader Jim Rogers 'Ecstatic' Over Drought-Driven Corn Prices




Across the Midwest, one of the worst droughts in decades is ravaging crops and driving the price of corn and other basics to record heights. It’s bad news for consumers, who will pay more at the supermarket as crops whither in the punishing heat.

But famed commodities trader and finance author Jim Rogers is making money.  Since the beginning of June, the index he owns -- the Rogers International Commodities Index for Agriculture, or RICIA, has jumped 18 percent. The index, which tracks the price of crops globally, is up roughly 10 percent for the year.

"I’m ecstatic to see prices going higher because [that] might save the day,” said Rogers by phone Tuesday. “People like you are sitting around saying ‘Oh my God, evil speculators are making money at the expense of [consumers]. ... If you’re worried about evil speculators making money, go to the field and drive the price down.” He added: “Who’s going to produce this food if the prices don’t go higher?”

Agricultural commodities prices are so low that farmers can’t make a good living, Rogers argued. And as this generation of farmers gets older, low prices mean less incentive for others to join the profession. All this is a recipe for a global crop shortage due, in part, to cheap corn, he said.  “You better hope prices go higher and people make money. If they don’t, we’re not going to have any food....”


Sad News: Death Plunge Banker Falls 100ft From Sixth Floor Balcony


A man has died after plunging nearly 100ft from a sixth floor balcony bar at the Tate Modern gallery in London, the police have confirmed.  According to HuffPo UK the incident was witnessed by hundreds of tourists, many of whom were sunbathing outside the iconic building.

The man, Michael Foreman, a HSBC banker, fell from the members' bar balcony around 6pm on Tuesday evening.  The sixth floor bar overlooks the building’s main entrance.

Onlookers were stunned by the incident, with one tweeting that "Seeing the guy who had committed suicide and jumped off the Tate modern has been the most traumatic thing I have seen".

More?  Go to http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2012/07/25/tate-modern-man-falls-death-gallery-balcony_n_1700931.html

Wall Street Exec Escapes Financial Crisis Charges




According to Reuters a former Citigroup Inc manager was found not liable on Tuesday of civil charges of misleading investors a blow to regulators in one of the few fraud cases brought against a Wall Street executive over the collapse of subprime mortgage investments.

Brian Stoker, who worked on the bank's mortgage investments desk, was charged by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as part of a broader civil lawsuit against the bank.

At a two-week trial in U.S. District Court in Manhattan, the commission argued that Stoker failed to tell the buyers of a $1 billion Citigroup collateralized debt obligation that the bank had made a $500 million "short" bet that the mortgage pool would fail.  Stoker and his lawyer argued that he followed the bank's best practices and was singled out for blame…..


Meredith Whitney’s Advice For Laid Off Wall Streeters: Don’t ask about your corner office, instead ask do you want this collated and stapled?



On Bloomberg TV this morning Meredith Whitney put it as bluntly as it gets — laid off Wall Streeters need to lower their expectations and take a pay cut. It's that simple.

Obviously this isn't what anyone wants to hear, but here's what she said word for word:
“The problem to date has been that those that have been laid off have been sitting on their couches because they do not want to take a downgrade in pay. They are not going back to work and the longer you are out of work, the more difficult it is to get a new job. My advice to them is take what you can get. It is very hard to transfer skills from a high-paying job…so recalibrate your expectations.

As if it could get worse, the famed bank analyst had more dark words for Wall Streeters on top of that. Basically, that we’re only half finished; more layoffs are coming, especially in investment banking.....


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/meredith-whitney-on-wall-street-compensation-2012-7#ixzz22H6j2GFV