Monday, April 1, 2013

Doomster: ‘The Great Deformation’ and Our Economic Doom




Those new stock market records? Just another bubble—but this one might well finish us. ‘Great Deformation’ author David Stockman told Daniel Gross where we went wrong, and who’s to blame.

“Most 742-page jeremiads aren’t much fun to read. But The Great Deformation, David Stockman’s revisionist history of the past 100 years of capitalism American-style, is a spirited, occasionally gleeful, skewering of many of our most widely held assumptions and most lionized figures. A former divinity student, Stockman chronicles what he views as the moral rot in the American financial system—one fueled by easy money, profligate debt, and needless government intervention. To a degree, this book is autobiographical. As a congressman, Reagan-era budget official, and private equity executive, Stockman has lived through the booms and busts of the past half-century. He knows the world of which he writes from the inside out. And in The Great Deformation, few escape his opprobrium—current and past policymakers, Roosevelt and Reagan, Democrats and Republicans, leveraged buyout titans, and corporate CEOs. “Sundown now comes to America because sound money, free markets, and fiscal rectitude have no champion in the political arena,” Stockman writes…..

Grab a clean hankie and keep reading at http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/04/01/david-stockman-on-the-great-deformation-and-our-economic-doom.html

Bullish Bets Rebound at Fastest Pace in Four Years: Commodities




Investors are boosting wagers on higher commodity prices at the fastest pace in almost four years, rebounding from the least bullish position since 2009, on signs that the U.S. is accelerating and Europe’s debt crisis is easing, according to Bloomberg.

Hedge funds and other large speculators increased net-long positions across 18 U.S. futures and options by 10 percent to 679,191 contracts in the week ended March 26, data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission show. The bets surged 67 percent in three weeks, the biggest advance since May 2009. Wagers on higher oil prices climbed the most this year, while those for cattle are at a six-week high….

Mad Rush to find Cypriot cash escape route




According to the Financial Times: The hunt is on to find ways to circumnavigate the new draconian capital controls in Cyprus and get money off the island.
At least three people have attempted to flee the island in recent weeks with more than €200,000 in cash on their person, according to official sources. The money was in all cases confiscated and the people questioned by the authorities.  Individuals have only been allowed to take €1,000 a day out of the country since Thursday under strict capital controls designed to prevent a bank run….But concerns have also been raised in Brussels that politically-connected depositors on the island have been able to move their cash out of Laiki and Bank of Cypus, even though banks were closed from the start of the crisis…..

Jobs under threat at top firm



Royal Bank of Scotland could be about to cut many more jobs to further shrink its investment banking division in response to the new pressure on its balance sheet.

RBS is reported to be planning the cuts in an effort to meet the new capital surplus target set by the Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee (FPC).  Its shares fell sharply last week after the FPC said banks would be forced to take action to bolster their capital reserves to guard against future financial crises. The largely taxpayer-owned bank has already nearly halved its investment bank balance sheet to £284 billion, from more than £500bn in 2008...

Wait...wait...there's more at http://www.heraldscotland.com/business/company-news/jobs-under-threat-at-rbs-investment-banking-arm.20546695

Loeb's Third Point creams hedge fund rivals again!




From Reuters’ Svea Herbst-Bayliss: Hedge fund manager Daniel Loeb outperformed his rivals again in the first quarter with returns that kept pace with the stock market's recent rally, a person familiar with Loeb's returns said.

The New York-based manager told investors late on Thursday that his flagship Third Point Offshore Fund rose 2.8 percent in March while the Third Point Ultra fund, the leveraged version of the Offshore fund, gained 4.2 percent. For the year to date, the Offshore fund, with $5.6 billion in assets, is up 9.2 percent while the Third Point Ultra Fund gained 13.3 percent.  During the same time, the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index climbed 10 percent while it rose 3.6 percent during the month...

Read all about it at http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/29/us-hedgefunds-loeb-performance-idUSBRE92S0AN20130329

What's Really Behind Steve Cohen's Shopping Spree?




From Institutional Investors Alpha: Is SAC Capital Advisors’ Steven Cohen thumbing his nose at regulators? Soon after his firm agreed to write a $616 million check to the Securities and Exchange Commission as settlement for two insider trading cases, Cohen was reported as paying $155 million for Picasso’s world-renowned “Le RĂªve” in one of the most expensive art deals ever. You'd think he'd spend some time kicking back and enjoying the painting. Yet there he is again, snapping up a prime oceanfront property in the Hamptons for $60 million, according to a Thursday report. Presumably some of this cash is coming from the $115 million or so he hopes to ring up from his duplex apartment in New York’s Bloomberg Tower, reportedly up for sale. The billionaire certainly one of the deep-pocketed hedge fund managers around, but the timing of the deals may be more than mere coincidence. Cohen seemed to be sending a not-so-subtle message to the authorities. As in, “Hey fellas, that was a rounding error.” Last year Cohen made more than twice what he agreed to pay the government. (Watch for Institutional Investor’s Alpha’s Rich List 2012, coming out shortly) The settlement is also slightly more than the $585 million that he earned in 2011. Indeed over the past three years Cohen has made roughly $2.3 billion, or nearly four times what he agreed to pay the government...

More at http://www.institutionalinvestorsalpha.com/Article/3183204/The-Morning-Brief-Whats-Behind-Steve-Cohens-Shopping-Spree.html

Tough To Prove Hedge Fund Titan Michael Steinberg Broke Insider Trading Law



From The Forward: To win a guilty verdict against one of hedge fund titan Steven A Cohen’s most senior portfolio managers, U.S. prosecutors face a tough task: convincing a jury that a man who already admitted to breaking the law is telling the truth on the witness stand.

On Friday, U.S. authorities arrested and charged Michael Steinberg, a 16-year veteran of Cohen’s $15 billion SAC Capital Advisors, with insider trading in shares of the technology stocks Dell and Nvidia. The case against Steinberg, 40, is built heavily on the testimony of one of his former colleagues, Jon Horvath, who has admitted to insider trading and is now cooperating with the government...

Read more: http://forward.com/articles/174063/tough-to-prove-hedge-fund-titan-michael-steinberg/